cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.47
DE 0.63 points per possession 0.51
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.70
PACE 69.89 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-06 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -1.89 to 1.85 over 111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021518 0.217

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas N 56–76 conf_tournament
2021-03-10 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee N canceled conf_tournament
2021-03-05 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 54–63 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 50–80 regular
2021-02-28 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 60–73 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 61–67 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 85–96 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 79–107 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 60–73 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 65–66 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 52–63 regular
2021-01-29 2021 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 70–59 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 68–52 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 82–67 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 59–64 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 54–84 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 56–67 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 68–55 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic scheduled regular
2021-01-02 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic scheduled regular
2020-12-22 2021 Bellarmine @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2020-12-20 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Bellarmine canceled regular
2020-12-17 2021 Ole Miss @ Middle Tennessee 70–51 regular
2020-12-12 2021 Covenant @ Middle Tennessee 57–76 non_d1
2020-12-08 2021 Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee 80–70 regular
2020-12-03 2021 Murray State @ Middle Tennessee 61–78 regular
2020-11-27 2021 East Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee N 57–43 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Omaha N 59–60 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Akron @ Middle Tennessee N canceled regular