cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.85 possessions per game 4.41

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.57 to 1.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-10 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic N 65–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee N 65–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 65–77 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas 50–64 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 49–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 58–69 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 70–74 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 69–92 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 89–93 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 60–84 regular
2023-02-03 2023 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 72–84 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 74–82 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 67–85 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 68–51 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 58–62 regular
2023-01-17 2023 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 73–74 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Rice 71–68 regular
2023-01-07 2023 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 56–51 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 72–75 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 60–65 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 67–82 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Murray State @ Middle Tennessee 67–83 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee 82–73 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Belmont 85–75 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Maryville College (TN) @ Middle Tennessee 46–69 non_d1
2022-12-01 2023 Middle Tennessee @ St. Bonaventure 64–71 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Montana State @ Middle Tennessee N 71–72 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Middle Tennessee N 63–75 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Hofstra N 64–54 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State 51–75 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 46–81 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Middle Tennessee @ Winthrop 68–76 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Brescia @ Middle Tennessee 52–79 non_d1