cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.98 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 59.49 to 83.88 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021518 0.217

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas N 56–76 conf_tournament
2021-03-10 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee N canceled conf_tournament
2021-03-05 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 54–63 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 50–80 regular
2021-02-28 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 60–73 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 61–67 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 85–96 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 79–107 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 60–73 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 65–66 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 52–63 regular
2021-01-29 2021 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 70–59 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 68–52 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 82–67 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 59–64 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 54–84 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 56–67 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 68–55 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic scheduled regular
2021-01-02 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic scheduled regular
2020-12-22 2021 Bellarmine @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular
2020-12-20 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Bellarmine canceled regular
2020-12-17 2021 Ole Miss @ Middle Tennessee 70–51 regular
2020-12-12 2021 Covenant @ Middle Tennessee 57–76 non_d1
2020-12-08 2021 Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee 80–70 regular
2020-12-03 2021 Murray State @ Middle Tennessee 61–78 regular
2020-11-27 2021 East Tennessee State @ Middle Tennessee N 57–43 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Omaha N 59–60 regular
2020-11-25 2021 Akron @ Middle Tennessee N canceled regular