cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.35 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.27 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Butler @ St. John's N 63–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Butler @ Xavier 66–78 regular
2023-02-28 2023 Marquette @ Butler 72–56 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Butler @ DePaul 59–58 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Georgetown @ Butler 68–62 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Butler @ Villanova 50–62 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Xavier @ Butler 67–69 regular
2023-02-08 2023 St. John's @ Butler 66–68 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Butler @ Marquette 52–60 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Seton Hall @ Butler 70–49 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Butler @ Providence 58–79 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Butler @ UConn 56–86 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Creighton @ Butler 73–52 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Villanova @ Butler 71–79 regular
2023-01-10 2023 Butler @ St. John's 61–77 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Butler @ Seton Hall 51–76 regular
2023-01-05 2023 DePaul @ Butler 70–78 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Butler @ Georgetown 80–51 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Providence @ Butler 72–52 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Butler @ Creighton 56–78 regular
2022-12-18 2023 UConn @ Butler 68–46 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Butler @ California 82–58 regular
2022-12-06 2023 Yale @ Butler 61–71 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Tennessee Tech @ Butler 66–80 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Kansas State @ Butler 64–76 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Butler @ NC State N 61–76 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Butler @ BYU N 75–70 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Butler @ Tennessee N 45–71 regular
2022-11-20 2023 The Citadel @ Butler 42–89 regular
2022-11-17 2023 St. Francis (PA) @ Butler 67–95 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Butler @ Penn State 62–68 regular
2022-11-07 2023 New Orleans @ Butler 53–89 regular