cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.75 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.91 to 1.47 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261616 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-11 2026 Providence @ Butler N 91–81 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Butler @ DePaul 81–71 regular
2026-03-04 2026 Creighton @ Butler 76–59 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Butler @ Villanova 73–82 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Xavier @ Butler 75–80 regular
2026-02-18 2026 Butler @ Georgetown 93–89 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Seton Hall @ Butler 63–56 regular
2026-02-12 2026 UConn @ Butler 80–70 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Butler @ Marquette 55–70 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Butler @ Providence 87–97 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Georgetown @ Butler 77–64 regular
2026-01-29 2026 Butler @ St. John's 70–92 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Marquette @ Butler 76–87 regular
2026-01-21 2026 DePaul @ Butler 80–87 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Butler @ Seton Hall 77–66 regular
2026-01-14 2026 Butler @ Xavier 75–89 regular
2026-01-07 2026 St. John's @ Butler 84–70 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Villanova @ Butler 85–67 regular
2025-12-31 2026 Butler @ Creighton 85–89 regular
2025-12-22 2026 NJIT @ Butler 52–101 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Northwestern @ Butler N 58–61 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Butler @ UConn 60–79 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Providence @ Butler 110–113 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Boise State @ Butler 77–68 regular
2025-12-03 2026 Eastern Michigan @ Butler 68–84 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Wright State @ Butler 69–94 regular
2025-11-23 2026 Butler @ Virginia N 80–73 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Butler @ South Carolina N 79–72 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Butler @ SMU 85–87 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Chicago State @ Butler 66–98 regular
2025-11-08 2026 IU Indianapolis @ Butler 80–112 regular
2025-11-06 2026 Southern Indiana @ Butler 58–88 regular