cbb·system

Butler Bulldogs

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.76 possessions per game 4.40

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Butler AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 44.28 to 76.53 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251520 0.429

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdButler auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-02 2025 Butler @ Boise State N 93–100 other_postseason
2025-03-31 2025 Utah @ Butler N 84–86 other_postseason
2025-03-13 2025 Butler @ St. John's N 57–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Butler @ Providence N 75–69 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Butler @ Creighton 74–87 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Xavier @ Butler 91–78 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Butler @ Villanova 70–80 regular
2025-02-27 2025 St. John's @ Butler 76–70 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Butler @ DePaul 84–72 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Butler @ Xavier 63–76 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Georgetown @ Butler 86–97 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Providence @ Butler 81–82 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Butler @ Seton Hall 84–54 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Butler @ Georgetown 70–73 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Marquette @ Butler 78–69 regular
2025-01-25 2025 DePaul @ Butler 69–86 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Butler @ UConn 78–80 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Seton Hall @ Butler 77–82 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Creighton @ Butler 80–76 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Butler @ Providence 65–84 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Butler @ St. John's 62–70 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Villanova @ Butler 73–65 regular
2024-12-21 2025 UConn @ Butler 78–74 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Butler @ Marquette 70–80 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Wisconsin @ Butler N 83–74 regular
2024-12-10 2025 North Dakota State @ Butler 71–68 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Butler @ Houston 51–79 regular
2024-12-03 2025 Eastern Illinois @ Butler 58–73 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Butler @ Mississippi State N 87–77 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Northwestern @ Butler N 69–71 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Merrimack @ Butler 39–78 regular
2024-11-16 2025 SMU @ Butler 70–81 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Western Michigan @ Butler 65–85 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Austin Peay @ Butler 68–66 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Missouri State @ Butler 65–72 regular