cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.17
PACE 71.91 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.13 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141716 0.515

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-27 2014 Northwestern @ Indiana 65–66 other_postseason
2014-03-23 2014 IU Indianapolis @ Northwestern 52–88 other_postseason
2014-03-21 2014 Ball State @ Northwestern 65–69 other_postseason
2014-03-06 2014 Northwestern @ Ohio State N 77–86 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 77–73 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Michigan State @ Northwestern 75–44 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Northwestern @ Ohio State 62–71 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Northwestern @ Penn State 73–82 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Minnesota @ Northwestern 82–64 regular
2014-02-11 2014 Northwestern @ Iowa 84–90 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Michigan @ Northwestern 70–68 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Penn State @ Northwestern 79–75 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Northwestern @ Indiana 58–52 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Nebraska @ Northwestern 59–63 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Northwestern @ Purdue 65–90 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 58–74 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Illinois @ Northwestern 76–74 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Northwestern @ Minnesota 59–94 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Purdue @ Northwestern 68–71 regular
2014-01-07 2014 Illinois @ Northwestern postponed regular
2014-01-03 2014 Northwestern @ Nebraska 65–66 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Northwestern @ Northeastern N 73–46 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Northwestern @ Indiana State N 67–70 regular
2013-12-21 2014 IU Indianapolis @ Northwestern 61–72 regular
2013-12-16 2014 Oral Roberts @ Northwestern 54–84 regular
2013-12-14 2014 Northwestern @ Loyola Chicago 90–57 regular
2013-12-06 2014 NC State @ Northwestern 76–61 regular
2013-12-01 2014 DePaul @ Northwestern 79–82 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Lafayette @ Northwestern 64–66 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Northwestern @ California 51–65 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Hofstra @ Northwestern 57–74 regular
2013-11-17 2014 UNLV @ Northwestern 53–57 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Chicago State @ Northwestern 33–64 regular
2013-11-10 2014 UIC @ Northwestern 63–79 regular