cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.25 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.47 to 1.05 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 Arkansas @ Northwestern N 57–55 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 Northwestern @ Maryland N 63–74 conf_tournament
2015-03-06 2015 Rutgers @ Northwestern N 57–62 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Maryland @ Northwestern 69–48 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Rutgers @ Northwestern 60–80 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 86–83 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Nebraska @ Northwestern 51–59 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Northwestern @ Michigan 63–62 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Northwestern @ Purdue 73–65 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Illinois @ Northwestern 58–64 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Northwestern @ Indiana 75–69 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Minnesota @ Northwestern 49–70 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Iowa @ Northwestern 102–99 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Northwestern @ Penn State 75–76 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Northwestern @ Illinois 68–67 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Michigan @ Northwestern 73–66 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Northwestern @ Iowa 70–83 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Michigan State @ Northwestern 70–77 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Northwestern @ Ohio State 64–73 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 46–68 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Northwestern @ Michigan State 61–57 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Northwestern @ Arizona State 75–88 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern N 44–92 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Northwestern @ UNLV 88–84 regular
2014-12-15 2015 Gonzaga @ Northwestern 43–62 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Loyola Chicago @ Northwestern 33–70 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Northwestern @ Virginia Tech 70–45 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Northwestern @ DePaul 97–91 regular
2014-11-26 2015 UIC @ Northwestern 40–61 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Kent State @ Northwestern 54–72 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Hampton @ Northwestern 36–62 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Northwestern @ Chicago State 102–48 regular