cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.38 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.41 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.41 to 1.02 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020264 0.867

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-06 2020 Michigan @ Northwestern N 67–59 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Illinois @ Northwestern 58–75 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Northwestern @ Ohio State 69–55 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 82–66 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Rutgers @ Northwestern 65–82 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Nebraska @ Northwestern 56–60 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Northwestern @ Michigan 66–60 regular
2020-02-11 2020 Michigan State @ Northwestern 55–85 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Northwestern @ Penn State 82–59 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Michigan @ Northwestern 73–81 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Northwestern @ Maryland 61–70 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Northwestern @ Michigan State 76–48 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Penn State @ Northwestern 59–85 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Northwestern @ Indiana 71–69 regular
2020-01-13 2020 Purdue @ Northwestern 56–61 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Northwestern @ Minnesota 56–54 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Iowa @ Northwestern 77–51 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Maryland @ Northwestern 58–81 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Northwestern @ Illinois 77–50 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Northwestern @ Xavier N 79–59 regular
2019-12-20 2020 East Carolina @ Northwestern N 45–64 regular
2019-12-16 2020 UT Arlington @ Northwestern 47–74 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Dartmouth @ Northwestern 37–79 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Boston College @ Northwestern 63–66 regular
2019-12-01 2020 DePaul @ Northwestern 70–68 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Colgate @ Northwestern 44–73 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Valparaiso @ Northwestern 48–69 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Northwestern @ Duke 63–42 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Northwestern @ Marquette 64–56 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Loyola Maryland @ Northwestern 46–67 regular