cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.70 possessions per game 4.98

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.16 to 1.67 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192115 0.583

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-04-06 2019 Northwestern @ Arizona 42–56 other_postseason
2019-04-03 2019 Northwestern @ James Madison 74–69 other_postseason
2019-03-30 2019 Ohio @ Northwestern 58–61 other_postseason
2019-03-27 2019 Northwestern @ West Virginia 56–54 other_postseason
2019-03-24 2019 Northwestern @ Toledo 54–47 other_postseason
2019-03-22 2019 Dayton @ Northwestern 51–74 other_postseason
2019-03-07 2019 Michigan State @ Northwestern N 68–52 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Northwestern @ Iowa 50–74 regular
2019-02-27 2019 Indiana @ Northwestern 49–69 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Nebraska @ Northwestern 71–64 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Northwestern @ Purdue 58–61 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Penn State @ Northwestern 63–78 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Northwestern @ Minnesota 64–73 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Northwestern @ Maryland 57–72 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Ohio State @ Northwestern 59–76 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Minnesota @ Northwestern 61–54 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Northwestern @ Illinois 64–56 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Northwestern @ Nebraska 58–54 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 46–72 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Northwestern @ Indiana 75–69 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Purdue @ Northwestern 57–54 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Northwestern @ Michigan 78–79 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Michigan State @ Northwestern 62–70 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Illinois @ Northwestern 45–68 regular
2018-12-28 2019 Northwestern @ Rutgers 41–45 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Kansas @ Northwestern N 66–57 regular
2018-12-20 2019 Northwestern @ Wichita State N 65–43 regular
2018-12-17 2019 Chicago State @ Northwestern 35–97 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Marquette @ Northwestern 76–57 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Northwestern @ DePaul 60–76 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Pittsburgh @ Northwestern 52–49 regular
2018-11-25 2019 UT Martin @ Northwestern 64–90 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Northwestern @ Florida 83–74 regular
2018-11-16 2019 UIC @ Northwestern 44–87 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Duke @ Northwestern 58–84 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Northwestern @ Green Bay 57–55 regular