Northwestern Wildcats
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.72 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.35 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.77 | possessions per game | 5.19 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.78 to 1.40 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 9 | 0.640 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Northwestern | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-24 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Louisville N | 53–62 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | UCF @ Northwestern N | 51–62 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Maryland N | 52–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Michigan N | 65–49 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Illinois @ Northwestern N | 42–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Michigan | 58–63 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Maryland @ Northwestern | 62–50 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 67–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 54–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Northwestern | 71–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Ohio State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Northwestern | 70–54 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Michigan State | 63–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Northwestern | 57–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Iowa | 87–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Indiana @ Northwestern | 74–61 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 54–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Penn State | 67–50 | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Rutgers | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Iowa @ Northwestern | 67–77 | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Wisconsin | 80–55 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Michigan @ Northwestern | 84–63 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Nebraska | 63–65 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Eastern Kentucky @ Northwestern | 50–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Purdue | 70–54 | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Northwestern | 51–80 | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern | 57–93 | regular |