cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.25 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.64 to 1.22 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-01 2023 Northwestern @ Rutgers N 59–63 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Northwestern @ Nebraska 64–80 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 64–57 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Minnesota @ Northwestern 62–76 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Northwestern @ Rutgers 48–62 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Northwestern @ Purdue 61–76 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Maryland @ Northwestern 79–54 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Nebraska @ Northwestern 78–66 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Northwestern @ Penn State 64–74 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 70–67 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Chicago State @ Northwestern 64–87 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Illinois @ Northwestern 67–64 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Northwestern @ Ohio State 54–84 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Purdue @ Northwestern 65–54 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Northwestern @ Iowa 64–93 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Indiana @ Northwestern 72–50 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Northwestern @ Illinois 79–85 regular
2023-01-03 2023 Michigan State @ Northwestern 71–64 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Ohio State @ Northwestern 81–48 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Air Force @ Northwestern 58–64 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Northwestern @ UIC 66–62 regular
2022-12-10 2023 DePaul @ Northwestern 81–63 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Northwestern @ Michigan 66–77 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Northwestern @ Duke 50–66 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Valparaiso @ Northwestern 47–81 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Niagara @ Northwestern 38–76 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Southern Illinois @ Northwestern 69–84 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Notre Dame @ Northwestern 92–58 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Pennsylvania @ Northwestern 55–63 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Northwestern @ Oregon 57–100 regular