cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.98 possessions per game 4.97

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 55.41 to 77.80 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181220 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-01 2018 Northwestern @ Iowa N 45–55 conf_tournament
2018-02-28 2018 Wisconsin @ Northwestern N 63–68 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Rutgers @ Northwestern 50–63 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Northwestern @ Ohio State 54–88 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Illinois @ Northwestern 61–68 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Northwestern @ Penn State 59–67 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Iowa @ Northwestern 70–61 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Northwestern @ Michigan 63–84 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Northwestern @ Indiana 73–78 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Michigan @ Northwestern 80–59 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Maryland @ Northwestern 68–65 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Northwestern @ Wisconsin 46–58 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Northwestern @ Purdue 60–63 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 60–69 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Nebraska @ Northwestern 69–59 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Northwestern @ Michigan State 51–81 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Northwestern @ Illinois 74–59 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Minnesota @ Northwestern 90–63 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Eastern Illinois @ Northwestern 40–74 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Green Bay @ Northwestern 63–57 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Northwestern @ Missouri State 59–90 regular
2017-12-14 2018 DePaul @ Northwestern 92–63 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Stony Brook @ Northwestern 36–68 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Milwaukee @ Northwestern 66–57 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Northwestern @ Syracuse 74–81 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Georgetown @ Northwestern N 55–54 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Auburn @ Northwestern N 48–49 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Northwestern @ Chattanooga N 44–61 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Santa Clara @ Northwestern 47–57 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Northwestern @ UT Martin 71–63 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Oakland @ Northwestern 70–88 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Northwestern @ Chicago State 63–36 regular