cbb·system

Northwestern Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.39 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 58.44 to 153.46 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221712 0.586

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-04 2022 Northwestern @ Iowa N 59–72 conf_tournament
2022-03-03 2022 Minnesota @ Northwestern N 60–65 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Northwestern @ Nebraska 59–73 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Purdue @ Northwestern 51–68 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Northwestern @ Illinois 82–59 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Northwestern @ Indiana 58–69 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Michigan @ Northwestern 69–71 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Northwestern @ Minnesota 68–74 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Northwestern @ Penn State 78–72 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Northwestern @ Purdue 80–67 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Illinois @ Northwestern postponed regular
2022-01-29 2022 Iowa @ Northwestern 72–67 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Northwestern @ Maryland 59–87 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Penn State @ Northwestern 63–59 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Northwestern @ Michigan State 46–65 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Rutgers @ Northwestern 63–68 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Ohio State @ Northwestern 74–61 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Northwestern @ Iowa 77–69 regular
2022-01-04 2022 Michigan State @ Northwestern postponed regular
2021-12-31 2022 Northwestern @ Minnesota postponed regular
2021-12-22 2022 Oregon @ Northwestern canceled regular
2021-12-18 2022 Temple @ Northwestern 58–68 regular
2021-12-15 2022 Milwaukee @ Northwestern 46–55 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Delaware @ Northwestern 53–76 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Wisconsin @ Northwestern 49–61 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Northwestern @ Clemson 72–61 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Northwestern @ Texas A&M N 68–77 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Northwestern @ Pittsburgh N 60–72 regular
2021-11-25 2022 South Dakota @ Northwestern N 57–73 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Northwestern @ DePaul 75–78 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Loyola Chicago @ Northwestern 47–63 regular
2021-11-14 2022 UC Santa Barbara @ Northwestern 46–72 regular
2021-11-11 2022 UIC @ Northwestern 49–72 regular