cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.06 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.38 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023922 0.290

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-02-25 2023 Austin Peay @ Florida Gulf Coast 71–89 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Austin Peay @ Stetson 51–76 regular
2023-02-18 2023 North Florida @ Austin Peay 71–73 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Jacksonville @ Austin Peay 60–56 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 69–76 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 57–70 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Queens University @ Austin Peay 70–69 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Liberty @ Austin Peay 82–70 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Austin Peay @ Jacksonville State 53–70 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State 57–84 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 74–59 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Bellarmine @ Austin Peay 56–45 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Austin Peay @ Lipscomb 72–86 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Lipscomb @ Austin Peay 87–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 62–86 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay 59–61 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Austin Peay @ North Florida 85–90 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Austin Peay @ Queens University 77–81 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Austin Peay @ Tennessee 44–86 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Austin Peay @ Murray State 60–68 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Lindsey Wilson College @ Austin Peay 61–86 non_d1
2022-12-07 2023 Kentucky Christian @ Austin Peay 57–102 non_d1
2022-12-03 2023 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 61–77 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Western Kentucky @ Austin Peay 75–74 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Howard @ Austin Peay 56–55 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Austin Peay @ Bucknell N 65–79 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Austin Peay @ UAlbany N 74–59 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Austin Peay @ South Florida 62–60 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Milligan @ Austin Peay 74–98 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 Austin Peay @ Purdue 44–63 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Austin Peay @ NC State 50–99 regular