cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.17
PACE 65.02 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.36 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241916 0.543

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-21 2024 Alabama A&M @ Austin Peay 81–71 other_postseason
2024-03-10 2024 Austin Peay @ Stetson 91–94 conf_tournament
2024-03-08 2024 North Alabama @ Austin Peay 71–77 conf_tournament
2024-03-06 2024 North Florida @ Austin Peay 98–101 conf_tournament
2024-03-02 2024 Bellarmine @ Austin Peay 87–90 regular
2024-02-29 2024 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 79–83 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Lipscomb @ Austin Peay 90–85 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 87–79 regular
2024-02-16 2024 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 77–67 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Queens University @ Austin Peay 76–79 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Kennesaw State @ Austin Peay 69–85 regular
2024-02-03 2024 North Florida @ Austin Peay 91–95 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Austin Peay @ Jacksonville 43–63 regular
2024-01-28 2024 Austin Peay @ Florida Gulf Coast 67–73 regular
2024-01-26 2024 Austin Peay @ Stetson 82–83 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 71–94 regular
2024-01-19 2024 North Alabama @ Austin Peay 80–83 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Austin Peay @ Lipscomb 77–91 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky 59–69 regular
2024-01-04 2024 Austin Peay @ Bellarmine 84–68 regular
2023-12-31 2024 Austin Peay @ Memphis 70–81 regular
2023-12-23 2024 Ohio @ Austin Peay 67–71 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky 64–65 regular
2023-12-13 2024 Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois 70–68 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Murray State @ Austin Peay 49–53 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Midway University @ Austin Peay 44–98 non_d1
2023-12-03 2024 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 65–69 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Morehead State @ Austin Peay 61–50 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Austin Peay @ App State 58–78 regular
2023-11-22 2024 Austin Peay @ Sacramento State N 74–71 regular
2023-11-20 2024 Tarleton State @ Austin Peay N 66–59 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Austin Peay @ UTEP 63–71 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Fisk @ Austin Peay 52–79 non_d1
2023-11-11 2024 Austin Peay @ George Mason 45–67 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Life University @ Austin Peay 72–90 non_d1