cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.90 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.32 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251419 0.424

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-04 2025 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 64–90 conf_tournament
2025-03-03 2025 North Florida @ Austin Peay N 69–90 conf_tournament
2025-02-27 2025 Austin Peay @ West Georgia 70–73 regular
2025-02-25 2025 Lipscomb @ Austin Peay 95–78 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Austin Peay @ Queens University 92–78 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Austin Peay @ Bellarmine 68–94 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Stetson @ Austin Peay 63–76 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Florida Gulf Coast @ Austin Peay 60–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 67–90 regular
2025-02-06 2025 North Alabama @ Austin Peay 74–64 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky 82–88 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Bellarmine @ Austin Peay 77–86 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 84–88 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 73–71 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Austin Peay @ Lipscomb 60–88 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 90–97 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Queens University @ Austin Peay 67–60 regular
2025-01-10 2025 West Georgia @ Austin Peay 72–68 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Austin Peay @ Jacksonville 44–68 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Austin Peay @ North Florida 97–89 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Brescia @ Austin Peay 46–93 non_d1
2024-12-21 2025 Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt 55–85 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Austin Peay @ Ohio 58–78 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Southern Illinois @ Austin Peay 65–60 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Austin Peay @ Samford 47–72 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Austin Peay @ East Tennessee State 57–79 regular
2024-11-27 2025 UT Arlington @ Austin Peay N 68–58 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Georgia State @ Austin Peay N 50–62 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Austin Peay @ Morehead State 58–63 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Austin Peay @ Tennessee 68–103 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Chattanooga @ Austin Peay 61–67 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Austin Peay @ Butler 68–66 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Union (TN) @ Austin Peay 75–95 non_d1