cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.04 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 54.93 to 79.36 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221217 0.414

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-03 2022 Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay N 78–51 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois 64–52 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville 68–64 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay 73–69 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Austin Peay @ Murray State 56–91 regular
2022-02-14 2022 Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay 54–62 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 52–54 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Southeast Missouri State @ Austin Peay 66–74 regular
2022-02-08 2022 Austin Peay @ Belmont 58–72 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Austin Peay @ Morehead State 52–77 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Murray State @ Austin Peay 65–53 regular
2022-02-01 2022 SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay 63–68 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech 58–55 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Belmont @ Austin Peay 75–67 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 61–65 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Austin Peay @ UT Martin 72–57 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay scheduled regular
2022-01-08 2022 Morehead State @ Austin Peay 66–55 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State 79–98 regular
2021-12-31 2022 UT Martin @ Austin Peay 65–62 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt 51–77 regular
2021-12-15 2022 Austin Peay @ South Florida 51–60 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Austin Peay @ North Florida 84–91 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Milligan @ Austin Peay 55–98 non_d1
2021-11-30 2022 Austin Peay @ TCU 51–68 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Austin Peay @ Howard 69–67 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Austin Peay @ Dayton 87–81 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Austin Peay @ Purdue Fort Wayne 60–65 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois 55–73 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Tennessee Southern @ Austin Peay 79–86 non_d1