cbb·system

Harvard Crimson

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.83 possessions per game 5.00

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Harvard AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.24 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181811 0.621

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbHarvard auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Harvard @ Fordham 47–65 other_postseason
2018-03-11 2018 Harvard @ Pennsylvania N 52–57 conf_tournament
2018-03-04 2018 Harvard @ Columbia 78–59 regular
2018-03-03 2018 Harvard @ Cornell 91–57 regular
2018-03-02 2018 Harvard @ Cornell postponed regular
2018-02-25 2018 Princeton @ Harvard 58–72 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 52–55 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Harvard @ Yale 63–69 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Harvard @ Brown 86–74 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Harvard @ Pennsylvania 49–69 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Harvard @ Princeton 47–80 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Cornell @ Harvard 58–80 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Columbia @ Harvard 67–85 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Brown @ Harvard 85–87 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Yale @ Harvard 73–97 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Dartmouth @ Harvard 65–76 regular
2018-01-10 2018 La Salle @ Harvard 61–70 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Harvard @ Dartmouth 56–63 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Stony Brook @ Harvard 53–60 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Akron @ Harvard N 63–76 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Harvard @ Florida Gulf Coast 56–65 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Harvard @ Northeastern 79–69 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Harvard @ Temple 64–86 regular
2017-11-26 2018 North Carolina A&T @ Harvard N 60–64 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Harvard @ Virginia 48–50 regular
2017-11-21 2018 Boston University @ Harvard 70–80 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Sacred Heart @ Harvard 62–70 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Siena @ Harvard 67–75 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Harvard @ Maine N 51–76 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Dayton @ Harvard N 72–66 regular