cbb·system

Harvard Crimson

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.41 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Harvard AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.39 to 0.45 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201512 0.556

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbHarvard auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Harvard @ Yale 58–60 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Harvard @ Brown 63–59 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Cornell @ Harvard 55–47 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Columbia @ Harvard 62–57 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Harvard @ Pennsylvania 48–70 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Harvard @ Princeton 45–66 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Harvard @ Columbia 64–89 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Harvard @ Cornell 73–58 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Brown @ Harvard 53–68 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Yale @ Harvard 57–66 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Princeton @ Harvard 60–46 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 51–58 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Dartmouth @ Harvard 49–64 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Harvard @ Dartmouth 62–63 regular
2019-12-30 2020 Rhode Island @ Harvard 58–61 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Harvard @ Florida Atlantic 65–51 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Harvard @ Saint Joseph's N 39–63 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Harvard @ Maine 69–40 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Northeastern @ Harvard 46–44 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Harvard @ Quinnipiac 77–68 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Harvard @ Boston University 66–39 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Hartford @ Harvard 44–53 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Harvard @ Rutgers 46–74 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Harvard @ La Salle 69–75 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Siena @ Harvard 51–68 regular
2019-11-09 2020 California @ Harvard 53–56 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Harvard @ Northern Illinois 59–53 regular