cbb·system

Harvard Crimson

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.17
PACE 78.53 possessions per game 4.12

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Harvard AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 68.22 to 88.29 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151414 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbHarvard auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-07 2015 Harvard @ Brown 76–69 regular
2015-03-07 2015 Harvard @ Yale 68–63 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Columbia @ Harvard 81–82 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Cornell @ Harvard 54–60 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Harvard @ Princeton 57–78 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Harvard @ Pennsylvania 61–71 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Harvard @ Cornell 61–57 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Harvard @ Columbia 43–59 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Yale @ Harvard 55–65 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Brown @ Harvard 83–80 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 74–69 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Princeton @ Harvard 96–46 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Harvard @ Dartmouth 75–69 regular
2015-01-18 2015 NJIT @ Harvard 54–66 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Dartmouth @ Harvard 76–61 regular
2015-01-05 2015 Chattanooga @ Harvard 54–52 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Florida Gulf Coast @ Harvard 68–58 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Harvard @ Lipscomb N 84–63 regular
2014-12-29 2015 Harvard @ Louisiana Tech N 64–83 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Northeastern @ Harvard 65–67 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Harvard @ Maine 46–65 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Harvard @ Massachusetts 75–62 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Temple @ Harvard N 81–69 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Harvard @ Holy Cross 79–76 regular
2014-11-24 2015 Harvard @ Notre Dame 43–97 regular
2014-11-24 2015 Quinnipiac @ Harvard N 83–87 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Harvard @ Boston University 62–63 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Colgate @ Harvard 53–68 regular