cbb·system

Northern Iowa Panthers

mens MVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.41 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Iowa AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.85 to 1.45 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthern Iowa auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-20 2025 Northern Iowa @ SMU 63–73 nit
2025-03-08 2025 Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa N 64–63 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 56–73 regular
2025-02-27 2025 UIC @ Northern Iowa 52–74 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Drake @ Northern Iowa 64–58 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Northern Iowa @ Belmont 82–75 regular
2025-02-18 2025 Northern Iowa @ Murray State N 74–67 regular
2025-02-17 2025 Northern Iowa @ Murray State scheduled regular
2025-02-12 2025 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 73–88 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 65–68 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 66–61 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 69–83 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Northern Iowa @ Drake 52–66 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 74–56 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 68–79 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois 49–73 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 56–73 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 85–84 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Murray State @ Northern Iowa 71–68 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 73–80 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Belmont @ Northern Iowa 70–76 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 67–78 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Washington State @ Northern Iowa N 76–68 regular
2024-12-17 2025 Montana @ Northern Iowa 76–104 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Omaha @ Northern Iowa 58–78 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 57–101 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Northern Iowa @ UIC 83–56 regular
2024-11-30 2025 St. Bonaventure @ Northern Iowa N 68–56 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Northern Iowa @ North Texas N 48–68 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Western Illinois @ Northern Iowa 56–82 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Northern Iowa @ Wichita State 73–79 regular
2024-11-10 2025 UC Irvine @ Northern Iowa 80–60 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Milwaukee @ Northern Iowa 68–87 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Dubuque @ Northern Iowa 54–96 non_d1