North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.12 | points per possession | 0.17 |
| PACE | 72.41 | possessions per game | 4.67 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 0.63 to 1.22 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 15 | 16 | 0.484 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-01 | 2018 | North Carolina @ NC State N | 64–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-02-28 | 2018 | Boston College @ North Carolina N | 64–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-02-25 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Duke | 54–70 | regular |
| 2018-02-23 | 2018 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 86–80 | regular |
| 2018-02-18 | 2018 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 67–57 | regular |
| 2018-02-16 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 61–79 | regular |
| 2018-02-11 | 2018 | North Carolina @ NC State | 54–73 | regular |
| 2018-02-08 | 2018 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 90–74 | regular |
| 2018-02-04 | 2018 | Miami @ North Carolina | 92–72 | regular |
| 2018-02-02 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 62–94 | regular |
| 2018-01-26 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 70–82 | regular |
| 2018-01-21 | 2018 | Duke @ North Carolina | 86–92 | regular |
| 2018-01-18 | 2018 | NC State @ North Carolina | 66–53 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 79–76 | regular |
| 2018-01-12 | 2018 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 52–59 | regular |
| 2018-01-07 | 2018 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 67–68 | regular |
| 2018-01-05 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 64–77 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 65–103 | regular |
| 2017-12-28 | 2018 | Mercer @ North Carolina | 97–86 | regular |
| 2017-12-19 | 2018 | Grambling @ North Carolina N | 63–79 | regular |
| 2017-12-17 | 2018 | Washington @ North Carolina N | 78–90 | regular |
| 2017-12-10 | 2018 | Furman @ North Carolina | 56–84 | regular |
| 2017-12-05 | 2018 | Presbyterian @ North Carolina | 56–91 | regular |
| 2017-12-03 | 2018 | App State @ North Carolina | 43–56 | regular |
| 2017-12-01 | 2018 | Hartford @ North Carolina | 70–90 | regular |
| 2017-11-29 | 2018 | Minnesota @ North Carolina | 83–88 | regular |
| 2017-11-22 | 2018 | UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina | 60–86 | regular |
| 2017-11-19 | 2018 | South Alabama @ North Carolina | 85–84 | regular |
| 2017-11-16 | 2018 | Radford @ North Carolina | 46–79 | regular |
| 2017-11-12 | 2018 | Colorado @ North Carolina | 80–87 | regular |
| 2017-11-10 | 2018 | Hampton @ North Carolina | 70–66 | regular |