North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2020
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.87 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.21 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 71.03 | possessions per game | 4.43 |
At season 2020's latest cutoff
(2020-03-12 18:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020.
Axis spans 0.53 to 1.14 over
107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2020
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 16 | 14 | 0.533 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-04 | 2020 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina N | 83–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2020-03-01 | 2020 | Duke @ North Carolina | 73–54 | regular |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 65–83 | regular |
| 2020-02-23 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 79–82 | regular |
| 2020-02-16 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 75–93 | regular |
| 2020-02-14 | 2020 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 74–56 | regular |
| 2020-02-09 | 2020 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 72–63 | regular |
| 2020-02-06 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Duke | 61–71 | regular |
| 2020-02-02 | 2020 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 72–86 | regular |
| 2020-01-30 | 2020 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 68–78 | regular |
| 2020-01-26 | 2020 | North Carolina @ NC State | 68–76 | regular |
| 2020-01-23 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 67–60 | regular |
| 2020-01-19 | 2020 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 74–67 | regular |
| 2020-01-16 | 2020 | Miami @ North Carolina | 58–78 | regular |
| 2020-01-12 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 64–78 | regular |
| 2020-01-10 | 2020 | NC State @ North Carolina | 60–66 | regular |
| 2020-01-05 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 70–76 | regular |
| 2020-01-03 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 65–47 | regular |
| 2019-12-30 | 2020 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 62–70 | regular |
| 2019-12-28 | 2020 | Yale @ North Carolina | 66–63 | regular |
| 2019-12-21 | 2020 | UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina N | 45–85 | regular |
| 2019-12-15 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Alabama | 77–83 | regular |
| 2019-12-08 | 2020 | North Carolina Central @ North Carolina | 53–92 | regular |
| 2019-12-05 | 2020 | Illinois @ North Carolina | 60–85 | regular |
| 2019-11-29 | 2020 | North Carolina @ Missouri N | 82–69 | regular |
| 2019-11-29 | 2020 | Temple @ North Carolina N | 58–71 | regular |
| 2019-11-22 | 2020 | Elon @ North Carolina | 46–76 | regular |
| 2019-11-15 | 2020 | Charleston Southern @ North Carolina | 54–85 | regular |
| 2019-11-12 | 2020 | Navy @ North Carolina | 40–80 | regular |
| 2019-11-07 | 2020 | Western Carolina @ North Carolina | 55–92 | regular |