North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.76 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.30 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.17 | possessions per game | 4.63 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-07 19:00),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.47 to 1.08 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 13 | 0.606 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-24 | 2024 | North Carolina @ South Carolina | 41–88 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-22 | 2024 | Michigan State @ North Carolina N | 56–59 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-07 | 2024 | Miami @ North Carolina N | 60–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-03 | 2024 | Duke @ North Carolina | 59–63 | regular |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Boston College | 74–78 | regular |
| 2024-02-25 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 62–74 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | NC State @ North Carolina | 70–80 | regular |
| 2024-02-18 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Wake Forest | 58–50 | regular |
| 2024-02-15 | 2024 | Pittsburgh @ North Carolina | 62–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-11 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Duke | 60–68 | regular |
| 2024-02-04 | 2024 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 70–61 | regular |
| 2024-02-02 | 2024 | North Carolina @ NC State | 59–63 | regular |
| 2024-01-28 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 66–81 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Miami @ North Carolina | 61–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-21 | 2024 | Louisville @ North Carolina | 68–79 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Georgia Tech | 73–68 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 68–81 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Florida State | 62–70 | regular |
| 2024-01-07 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame | 61–57 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | 51–75 | regular |
| 2023-12-31 | 2024 | Clemson @ North Carolina | 76–82 | regular |
| 2023-12-20 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Oklahoma N | 61–52 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Western Carolina @ North Carolina | 36–96 | regular |
| 2023-12-10 | 2024 | North Carolina @ UConn N | 64–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-07 | 2024 | UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina | 66–81 | regular |
| 2023-12-01 | 2024 | South Carolina @ North Carolina | 65–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-26 | 2024 | Florida Gulf Coast @ North Carolina N | 65–64 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Kansas State N | 56–63 | regular |
| 2023-11-24 | 2024 | Vermont @ North Carolina N | 51–54 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | Elon @ North Carolina | 39–68 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Hampton @ North Carolina | 32–62 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Davidson @ North Carolina | 70–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-09 | 2024 | Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina | 49–102 | regular |