North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Sweet 16 (out) 2015
Ratings · 2015
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.78 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.27 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 75.67 | possessions per game | 4.26 |
At season 2015's latest cutoff
(2015-03-10 01:00),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015.
Axis spans 0.79 to 1.32 over
91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2015
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | 9 | 0.743 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-27 | 2015 | North Carolina @ South Carolina N | 65–67 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-23 | 2015 | Ohio State @ North Carolina N | 84–86 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-21 | 2015 | Liberty @ North Carolina N | 65–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2015-03-07 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Louisville N | 75–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-06 | 2015 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina N | 64–84 | conf_tournament |
| 2015-03-01 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Duke | 80–81 | regular |
| 2015-02-27 | 2015 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 70–72 | regular |
| 2015-02-22 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Miami | 66–65 | regular |
| 2015-02-20 | 2015 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 45–83 | regular |
| 2015-02-15 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Louisville | 66–75 | regular |
| 2015-02-13 | 2015 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 63–71 | regular |
| 2015-02-08 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 74–52 | regular |
| 2015-02-06 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 56–61 | regular |
| 2015-02-01 | 2015 | Boston College @ North Carolina | 60–72 | regular |
| 2015-01-25 | 2015 | Duke @ North Carolina | 74–67 | regular |
| 2015-01-23 | 2015 | North Carolina @ NC State | 67–63 | regular |
| 2015-01-18 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 78–56 | regular |
| 2015-01-16 | 2015 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 89–79 | regular |
| 2015-01-11 | 2015 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina | 81–96 | regular |
| 2015-01-09 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 59–84 | regular |
| 2015-01-04 | 2015 | NC State @ North Carolina | 56–72 | regular |
| 2015-01-02 | 2015 | East Tennessee State @ North Carolina | 62–95 | regular |
| 2014-12-30 | 2015 | UAlbany @ North Carolina | 56–71 | regular |
| 2014-12-21 | 2015 | Elon @ North Carolina N | 67–85 | regular |
| 2014-12-20 | 2015 | Maine @ North Carolina N | 36–65 | regular |
| 2014-12-16 | 2015 | Oregon State @ North Carolina | 70–55 | regular |
| 2014-12-14 | 2015 | App State @ North Carolina | 52–84 | regular |
| 2014-12-05 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Rutgers | 96–93 | regular |
| 2014-12-01 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Hawai'i | 74–65 | regular |
| 2014-11-30 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Prairie View A&M N | 81–45 | regular |
| 2014-11-29 | 2015 | Stanford @ North Carolina N | 54–70 | regular |
| 2014-11-23 | 2015 | North Carolina @ Oregon | 76–59 | regular |
| 2014-11-19 | 2015 | Oklahoma State @ North Carolina | 77–79 | regular |
| 2014-11-16 | 2015 | UCLA @ North Carolina | 68–84 | regular |
| 2014-11-14 | 2015 | Howard @ North Carolina | 49–83 | regular |