North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2019
Ratings · 2019
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 0.86 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.19 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.38 | possessions per game | 4.82 |
At season 2019's latest cutoff
(2019-04-07 22:00),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019.
Axis spans 60.59 to 82.99 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2019
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | 15 | 0.545 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-23 | 2019 | North Carolina @ California N | 72–92 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2019-03-08 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Notre Dame N | 77–95 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-07 | 2019 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina N | 73–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-03 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Duke | 44–62 | regular |
| 2019-02-24 | 2019 | NC State @ North Carolina | 74–69 | regular |
| 2019-02-22 | 2019 | Boston College @ North Carolina | 78–93 | regular |
| 2019-02-17 | 2019 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 53–70 | regular |
| 2019-02-15 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 78–91 | regular |
| 2019-02-10 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 70–64 | regular |
| 2019-02-08 | 2019 | Duke @ North Carolina | 85–69 | regular |
| 2019-02-03 | 2019 | North Carolina @ NC State | 64–51 | regular |
| 2019-02-01 | 2019 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina | 90–91 | regular |
| 2019-01-27 | 2019 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 73–78 | regular |
| 2019-01-25 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 81–69 | regular |
| 2019-01-20 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Miami | 68–76 | regular |
| 2019-01-18 | 2019 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 61–84 | regular |
| 2019-01-13 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 77–90 | regular |
| 2019-01-06 | 2019 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 64–63 | regular |
| 2019-01-04 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Louisville | 66–73 | regular |
| 2018-12-28 | 2019 | Howard @ North Carolina | 63–85 | regular |
| 2018-12-20 | 2019 | Auburn @ North Carolina N | 86–81 | regular |
| 2018-12-19 | 2019 | Rice @ North Carolina N | 50–71 | regular |
| 2018-12-15 | 2019 | UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina | 62–83 | regular |
| 2018-12-09 | 2019 | UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina | postponed | regular |
| 2018-12-05 | 2019 | UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina | 55–82 | regular |
| 2018-12-02 | 2019 | Maine @ North Carolina | 85–73 | regular |
| 2018-11-30 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Ohio State | 69–76 | regular |
| 2018-11-24 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Kentucky N | 75–85 | regular |
| 2018-11-23 | 2019 | South Florida @ North Carolina N | 69–71 | regular |
| 2018-11-22 | 2019 | North Carolina @ UCLA N | 83–49 | regular |
| 2018-11-18 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Colorado | 74–86 | regular |
| 2018-11-14 | 2019 | VCU @ North Carolina | 47–59 | regular |
| 2018-11-09 | 2019 | Kent State @ North Carolina | 60–73 | regular |
| 2018-11-07 | 2019 | North Carolina @ Elon | 100–69 | regular |