North Carolina Tar Heels
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 32 (out) 2023
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.74 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.34 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.26 | possessions per game | 4.53 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 60.05 to 145.92 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | 11 | 0.667 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | North Carolina | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-20 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Ohio State | 69–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-18 | 2023 | St. John's @ North Carolina N | 59–61 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Duke N | 40–44 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-02 | 2023 | Clemson @ North Carolina N | 58–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-26 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Duke | 45–41 | regular |
| 2023-02-24 | 2023 | Virginia Tech @ North Carolina | 61–59 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | Wake Forest @ North Carolina | 58–71 | regular |
| 2023-02-17 | 2023 | North Carolina @ NC State | 66–77 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Boston College @ North Carolina | 55–73 | regular |
| 2023-02-10 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Syracuse | 67–75 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Louisville | 55–62 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Virginia @ North Carolina | 62–73 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Clemson | 69–58 | regular |
| 2023-01-26 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | 72–57 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Georgia Tech @ North Carolina | 57–70 | regular |
| 2023-01-20 | 2023 | Duke @ North Carolina | 56–61 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | NC State @ North Carolina | 47–56 | regular |
| 2023-01-13 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 70–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-08 | 2023 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | 50–60 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Miami | 58–62 | regular |
| 2023-01-01 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Virginia Tech | 65–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Florida State @ North Carolina | 78–71 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Michigan @ North Carolina N | 76–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-16 | 2023 | South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina | 47–89 | regular |
| 2022-12-11 | 2023 | Wofford @ North Carolina | 67–99 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina | 42–64 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Indiana | 63–87 | regular |
| 2022-11-28 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Iowa State N | 73–64 | regular |
| 2022-11-24 | 2023 | North Carolina @ Oregon N | 85–79 | regular |
| 2022-11-20 | 2023 | North Carolina @ James Madison | 76–65 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | South Carolina State @ North Carolina | 25–93 | regular |
| 2022-11-12 | 2023 | TCU @ North Carolina | 48–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-10 | 2023 | Jackson State @ North Carolina | 59–91 | regular |