cbb·system

Saint Louis Billikens

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.16
PACE 73.97 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Louis AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 63.58 to 162.39 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Louis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-06 2014 Saint Louis @ La Salle N 56–65 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Massachusetts @ Saint Louis 68–87 regular
2014-02-26 2014 Saint Louis @ Dayton 58–67 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Saint Louis @ VCU 67–74 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Rhode Island @ Saint Louis 53–57 regular
2014-02-17 2014 Dayton @ Saint Louis 90–74 regular
2014-02-12 2014 St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis 65–72 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Saint Louis @ George Mason 65–62 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Fordham @ Saint Louis 56–45 regular
2014-02-01 2014 La Salle @ Saint Louis 43–53 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Saint Louis @ Saint Joseph's 69–65 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Saint Louis @ Rhode Island 58–50 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Richmond @ Saint Louis 67–58 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure 60–62 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Duquesne @ Saint Louis 59–47 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Saint Louis @ George Washington 61–84 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Dayton @ Saint Louis postponed regular
2014-01-03 2014 Saint Louis @ Fordham 52–74 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Saint Louis @ Holy Cross N 49–51 regular
2013-12-28 2014 William & Mary @ Saint Louis N 66–56 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Evansville @ Saint Louis 49–50 regular
2013-12-11 2014 Southeast Missouri State @ Saint Louis 34–52 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Saint Louis @ Northern Iowa 65–74 regular
2013-12-03 2014 Tulsa @ Saint Louis 54–65 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Saint Louis @ Western Illinois 85–87 regular
2013-11-26 2014 Saint Louis @ Indiana 69–85 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Saint Louis @ Murray State 64–83 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Saint Louis @ Winthrop 61–70 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Eastern Illinois @ Saint Louis 52–71 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Valparaiso @ Saint Louis 56–78 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Missouri @ Saint Louis 74–59 regular