cbb·system

Mercer Bears

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.44 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.42 to 0.43 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-08 2026 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 77–73 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 76–82 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Mercer @ Western Carolina 74–78 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Samford @ Mercer 86–89 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Chattanooga @ Mercer 94–90 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Mercer @ The Citadel 70–54 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Furman @ Mercer 64–69 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Mercer @ Samford 49–69 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Mercer @ Chattanooga 75–79 regular
2026-01-31 2026 VMI @ Mercer 81–95 regular
2026-01-30 2026 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 77–95 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Mercer @ Wofford 77–80 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Western Carolina @ Mercer 76–88 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 102–92 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Mercer @ VMI 77–67 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Wofford @ Mercer 97–109 regular
2026-01-08 2026 The Citadel @ Mercer 63–101 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 71–77 regular
2025-12-31 2026 Mercer @ Furman 72–74 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Baptist (Fl) @ Mercer 49–122 non_d1
2025-12-20 2026 Mercer @ Washington State 78–84 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Mercer @ UCF 63–81 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Mercer @ Clemson 63–70 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Oglethorpe @ Mercer 50–100 non_d1
2025-12-03 2026 Georgia State @ Mercer 67–78 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Mercer @ Elon 91–84 regular
2025-11-26 2026 App State @ Mercer 67–75 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Mercer @ Eastern Kentucky 95–83 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Mercer @ Winthrop 69–105 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Lipscomb @ Mercer 77–92 regular
2025-11-06 2026 LaGrange @ Mercer 62–101 non_d1
2025-11-04 2026 Mercer @ Tennessee 61–76 regular