cbb·system

Mercer Bears

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.56 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231419 0.424

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 Mercer @ Furman N 58–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 The Citadel @ Mercer N 41–66 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 The Citadel @ Mercer 50–72 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Mercer @ Furman 67–70 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Western Carolina @ Mercer 71–68 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Mercer @ Wofford 67–70 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Mercer @ Chattanooga 56–73 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Samford @ Mercer 70–69 regular
2023-02-04 2023 VMI @ Mercer 54–80 regular
2023-02-03 2023 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 69–49 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Mercer @ The Citadel 74–65 regular
2023-01-26 2023 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 67–71 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 48–59 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Mercer @ VMI 69–61 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 68–55 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Furman @ Mercer 84–66 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Mercer @ Western Carolina 45–73 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Wofford @ Mercer 53–52 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Chattanooga @ Mercer 80–51 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Mercer @ Samford 69–78 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Mercer @ Troy 82–79 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Morehead State @ Mercer 52–79 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Mercer @ Florida Gulf Coast 62–67 regular
2022-12-06 2023 Middle Georgia State @ Mercer 62–100 non_d1
2022-12-03 2023 Kennesaw State @ Mercer 66–63 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Towson @ Mercer N 70–60 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Fairfield @ Mercer N 58–60 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Robert Morris @ Mercer N 66–72 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Mercer @ Florida State 72–81 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Winthrop @ Mercer 68–77 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Mercer @ Georgia State 83–85 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Milligan @ Mercer 64–118 non_d1
2022-11-09 2023 Mercer @ East Carolina 75–77 regular