cbb·system

Xavier Musketeers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.35 possessions per game 5.06

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Xavier AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.22 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181020 0.333

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbXavier auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-04 2018 Xavier @ Seton Hall N 42–66 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Butler @ Xavier 54–57 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Xavier @ Providence 48–69 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Xavier @ Creighton 54–65 regular
2018-02-11 2018 DePaul @ Xavier 73–72 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Marquette @ Xavier 80–63 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Xavier @ St. John's 36–70 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Xavier @ Seton Hall 53–58 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Georgetown @ Xavier 65–48 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Villanova @ Xavier 89–50 regular
2018-01-22 2018 Creighton @ Xavier 71–64 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Providence @ Xavier 59–68 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Xavier @ Marquette 67–88 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Xavier @ DePaul 48–79 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Seton Hall @ Xavier 62–51 regular
2018-01-07 2018 St. John's @ Xavier 67–63 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Xavier @ Villanova 57–75 regular
2018-01-02 2018 Xavier @ Georgetown 60–65 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Xavier @ Butler 69–62 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Florida A&M @ Xavier 52–70 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Xavier @ Missouri N 48–74 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Furman @ Xavier N 62–75 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Cincinnati @ Xavier 50–53 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Xavier @ Bowling Green 53–63 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Wake Forest @ Xavier 62–57 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Xavier 50–62 regular
2017-11-23 2018 Xavier @ Minnesota 62–74 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Grambling @ Xavier 67–72 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Mount St. Mary's @ Xavier 45–66 regular
2017-11-11 2018 New Hampshire @ Xavier 66–71 regular