cbb·system

Omaha Mavericks

mens Summit canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.34 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Omaha AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.83 to 1.39 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023923 0.281

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdOmaha auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-05 2023 Omaha @ South Dakota State N 55–63 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Omaha @ Kansas City N 73–61 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Omaha @ Denver 61–72 regular
2023-02-19 2023 South Dakota State @ Omaha 91–70 regular
2023-02-17 2023 South Dakota @ Omaha 72–80 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Omaha @ North Dakota 73–76 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Omaha @ North Dakota State 58–84 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Western Illinois @ Omaha 75–72 regular
2023-02-03 2023 St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Omaha 89–83 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Omaha @ Oral Roberts 64–73 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Omaha @ Kansas City 61–64 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Omaha @ South Dakota 68–84 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Omaha @ South Dakota State 61–84 regular
2023-01-14 2023 North Dakota State @ Omaha 78–65 regular
2023-01-13 2023 North Dakota @ Omaha 63–69 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Omaha @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 68–80 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Omaha @ Western Illinois 78–74 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Kansas City @ Omaha 75–59 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Oral Roberts @ Omaha 92–89 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Omaha @ Iowa State canceled regular
2022-12-20 2023 Denver @ Omaha 66–83 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Midland University @ Omaha 72–104 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Omaha @ Montana State 54–82 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Omaha @ Drake 65–78 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Omaha @ North Texas 45–75 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Omaha @ Mississippi State 54–74 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Southern @ Omaha N 78–88 regular
2022-11-25 2023 UL Monroe @ Omaha N 56–63 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Omaha @ Iowa 64–100 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Ball State @ Omaha 71–61 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Idaho @ Omaha 72–79 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Omaha @ Nebraska 61–75 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Omaha @ Kansas 64–89 regular