cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.49 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Montana State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.26 over 61 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 Montana State @ Idaho N 74–78 conf_tournament
2018-03-06 2018 North Dakota @ Montana State N 58–68 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Montana State @ Weber State 69–85 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Montana State @ Idaho State 61–60 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Montana State @ Montana 63–87 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 74–77 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Idaho @ Montana State 95–77 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Montana State @ Portland State 53–62 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Montana State @ Sacramento State 77–88 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 78–63 regular
2018-02-02 2018 North Dakota @ Montana State 56–72 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Montana State @ Southern Utah 63–57 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 78–56 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Montana @ Montana State 64–81 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Sacramento State @ Montana State 50–85 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Portland State @ Montana State 69–60 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Montana State @ North Dakota 70–79 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 69–82 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 39–81 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Southern Utah @ Montana State 71–91 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Montana State @ BYU 54–75 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Stephen F. Austin @ Montana State 54–59 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Montana State @ Hawai'i 75–81 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Montana State @ Nevada N 53–67 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Montana State @ Utah State N 64–52 regular
2017-11-29 2018 Wyoming @ Montana State 46–50 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Montana State-Billings @ Montana State 47–67 non_d1
2017-11-17 2018 Montana State @ Omaha 53–64 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Providence (MT) @ Montana State 31–66 non_d1
2017-11-12 2018 Montana State @ Long Beach State 62–51 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Montana State @ USC 47–98 regular