cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.61 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.51 to 1.15 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020256 0.806

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Idaho @ Montana State N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-11 2020 Northern Arizona @ Montana State N 71–76 conf_tournament
2020-03-10 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana State N 62–67 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 73–63 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Montana State @ Southern Utah 81–65 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 71–73 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Sacramento State @ Montana State 69–113 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Montana @ Montana State 78–92 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Portland State @ Montana State 67–98 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Montana State @ Weber State 102–67 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Montana State @ Idaho State 74–55 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 47–79 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Montana State @ Idaho 62–56 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Montana State @ Montana 66–61 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Idaho State @ Montana State 59–67 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Weber State @ Montana State 52–81 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 89–85 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Montana State @ Portland State 73–62 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Idaho @ Montana State 69–68 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Southern Utah @ Montana State 65–91 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 58–91 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 72–64 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Montana State @ Sacramento State 85–48 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Montana State @ Texas A&M N 67–78 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Wichita State @ Montana State N 66–64 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Gonzaga @ Montana State 70–55 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Montana State @ Seattle U 73–65 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Montana State @ Minnesota 60–71 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Montana State @ South Dakota State 50–60 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Montana State-Northern @ Montana State 34–93 non_d1
2019-11-11 2020 Carroll (MT) @ Montana State 33–67 non_d1
2019-11-09 2020 UC Davis @ Montana State 65–77 regular