cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.82 possessions per game 4.48

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 62.85 to 126.89 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026278 0.771

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-29 2026 Montana State @ South Dakota 56–65 other_postseason
2026-03-27 2026 Portland @ Montana State 54–72 other_postseason
2026-03-22 2026 San Francisco @ Montana State 53–69 other_postseason
2026-03-11 2026 Montana State @ Idaho N 57–60 conf_tournament
2026-03-10 2026 Eastern Washington @ Montana State N 77–79 conf_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Montana @ Montana State N 57–78 conf_tournament
2026-03-03 2026 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 48–68 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Montana State @ Sacramento State 61–54 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Montana State @ Portland State 66–63 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Idaho State @ Montana State 61–67 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Weber State @ Montana State 36–81 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Montana State @ Montana 72–55 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 71–69 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Montana State @ Idaho 70–73 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Portland State @ Montana State 43–91 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Sacramento State @ Montana State 31–66 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Montana State @ Weber State 92–72 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Montana State @ Idaho State 60–79 regular
2026-01-20 2026 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 57–71 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Montana @ Montana State 44–82 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Idaho @ Montana State 66–99 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 70–72 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 82–65 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 86–79 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Hawai'i @ Montana State N 56–72 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Montana State @ Oregon State N 51–53 regular
2025-12-14 2026 Montana State @ Oregon 44–69 regular
2025-12-07 2026 North Dakota @ Montana State 57–99 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Montana State @ North Dakota State 65–90 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Montana State @ Colorado 71–70 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Montana State @ Troy 60–74 regular
2025-11-19 2026 UNLV @ Montana State 81–94 regular
2025-11-10 2026 Minot State @ Montana State 37–76 non_d1
2025-11-08 2026 Montana State @ Portland 86–72 regular
2025-11-05 2026 Carroll (MT) @ Montana State 41–93 non_d1