cbb·system

Alabama State Lady Hornets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.58 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Alabama State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans -0.64 to 0.21 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261715 0.531

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAlabama State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-14 2026 Southern @ Alabama State N 73–56 conf_tournament
2026-03-13 2026 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State N 59–72 conf_tournament
2026-03-12 2026 Grambling @ Alabama State N 50–56 conf_tournament
2026-03-05 2026 Grambling @ Alabama State 68–50 regular
2026-03-03 2026 Southern @ Alabama State 63–65 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Alabama State @ Alabama A&M 43–51 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Alabama State @ Florida A&M 62–59 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman 61–60 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State 71–79 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State 70–86 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Alabama State @ Grambling 53–67 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Alabama State @ Southern 61–57 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State 60–78 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Florida A&M @ Alabama State 64–75 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M 76–58 regular
2026-01-23 2026 Alabama State @ Texas Southern 82–74 regular
2026-01-19 2026 Alabama A&M @ Alabama State N 50–41 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Jackson State @ Alabama State 62–54 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Alcorn State @ Alabama State 49–40 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State 83–50 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 71–65 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Alabama State @ LSU 41–109 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Alabama State @ Mississippi State 57–105 regular
2025-12-13 2026 South Carolina State @ Alabama State 53–59 regular
2025-12-09 2026 Alabama State @ Baylor 36–90 regular
2025-12-02 2026 Auburn Montgomery @ Alabama State 41–70 non_d1
2025-11-21 2026 Alabama State @ Vanderbilt 38–92 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Faulkner @ Alabama State 77–71 non_d1
2025-11-14 2026 Alabama State @ West Georgia 61–64 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Talladega @ Alabama State 55–72 non_d1
2025-11-08 2026 Alabama State @ Auburn 41–82 regular
2025-11-03 2026 Alabama State @ Georgia 44–73 regular