cbb·system

Alabama State Lady Hornets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.60 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Alabama State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.45 to 1.16 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAlabama State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-10 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State N 71–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State N 61–70 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Alabama State @ Grambling 60–62 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Alabama State @ Southern 63–75 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Alabama A&M @ Alabama State 57–69 regular
2023-02-20 2023 Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State 71–74 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Florida A&M @ Alabama State 54–65 regular
2023-02-13 2023 Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State 66–61 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 71–60 regular
2023-02-06 2023 Southern @ Alabama State 43–48 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Grambling @ Alabama State 52–51 regular
2023-01-30 2023 Alabama State @ Florida A&M 77–68 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman 66–69 regular
2023-01-23 2023 Texas Southern @ Alabama State 73–81 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State 74–77 regular
2023-01-16 2023 Alabama State @ Alabama A&M 46–60 regular
2023-01-09 2023 Alabama State @ Alcorn State 93–91 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Alabama State @ Jackson State 48–90 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State 63–72 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State 65–76 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Mobile @ Alabama State 71–82 non_d1
2022-12-17 2023 Alabama State @ South Alabama 58–56 regular
2022-12-14 2023 Alabama State @ Jacksonville State 60–71 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Alabama State @ Texas 54–107 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Samford @ Alabama State 61–66 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Alabama State @ Abilene Christian 67–78 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Alabama State @ Texas Tech 56–91 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Alabama State @ Auburn 49–88 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Alabama State @ Mississippi State 46–81 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Alabama State @ Georgia 47–77 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Alabama State @ SMU 39–76 regular