cbb·system

Alabama State Lady Hornets

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.69 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.36 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.53 possessions per game 4.82

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Alabama State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 55.58 to 143.50 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025624 0.200

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAlabama State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Alabama State @ Grambling 53–69 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Alabama State @ Southern 38–61 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Alabama A&M @ Alabama State 71–63 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Florida A&M @ Alabama State 48–40 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State 56–53 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff 68–63 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State 57–68 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Grambling @ Alabama State 70–61 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Southern @ Alabama State 48–33 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman 40–71 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Alabama State @ Florida A&M 46–82 regular
2025-01-27 2025 Texas Southern @ Alabama State 69–67 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State 62–68 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Alabama State @ Alabama A&M 47–54 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Alabama State @ Jackson State 44–74 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Alabama State @ Alcorn State 54–61 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State 49–64 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State 46–58 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Alabama State @ Florida 31–88 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Alabama State @ Auburn 40–83 regular
2024-12-19 2025 West Georgia @ Alabama State 63–46 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Alabama State @ Oklahoma 46–110 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Alabama State @ Oklahoma State 49–125 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Alabama State @ Ole Miss 24–89 regular
2024-11-26 2025 UAB @ Alabama State N 76–43 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Alabama State @ Alabama N 33–83 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Alabama State @ Virginia 50–85 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Alabama State @ Mississippi State 29–83 regular
2024-11-07 2025 Stillman @ Alabama State 50–55 non_d1
2024-11-05 2025 Faulkner @ Alabama State 58–70 non_d1