cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.48 possessions per game 4.74

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.25 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 Villanova @ Marquette N 59–72 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Xavier @ Villanova N 56–64 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Villanova @ Providence 74–63 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Villanova @ Creighton 47–67 regular
2020-02-23 2020 DePaul @ Villanova 58–76 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Marquette @ Villanova 47–61 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Villanova @ Georgetown 48–40 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Villanova @ Butler 61–63 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Villanova @ Xavier 55–54 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Seton Hall @ Villanova 65–63 regular
2020-02-01 2020 St. John's @ Villanova 64–66 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Villanova @ Marquette 52–57 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Villanova @ DePaul 69–85 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Georgetown @ Villanova 53–74 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 58–70 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Xavier @ Villanova 54–66 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Butler @ Villanova 58–41 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Villanova @ St. John's 67–62 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Villanova @ Seton Hall 61–55 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Creighton @ Villanova 58–42 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Providence @ Villanova 49–51 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Villanova @ La Salle 77–69 regular
2019-12-10 2020 Villanova @ Temple 69–74 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Saint Joseph's @ Villanova 44–60 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Villanova @ Drexel 52–54 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Villanova @ Georgia 63–58 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Manhattan @ Villanova 51–63 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Villanova @ Fordham 73–66 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Villanova @ American University 54–76 regular
2019-11-10 2020 James Madison @ Villanova 56–52 regular
2019-11-07 2020 George Washington @ Villanova 68–56 regular