cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.18 possessions per game 5.20

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 0.10 to 1.90 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 Villanova @ West Virginia 57–64 other_postseason
2019-03-22 2019 Old Dominion @ Villanova 81–86 other_postseason
2019-03-10 2019 Villanova @ Georgetown N 67–76 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Villanova @ Butler 60–62 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Villanova @ Xavier 68–63 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Seton Hall @ Villanova 68–73 regular
2019-02-23 2019 St. John's @ Villanova 66–62 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Georgetown @ Villanova 43–91 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Villanova @ Marquette 55–93 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Villanova @ DePaul 70–93 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Creighton @ Villanova 62–67 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Providence @ Villanova 33–53 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Villanova @ St. John's 73–57 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Villanova @ Seton Hall 70–66 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Villanova @ Georgetown 63–68 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Villanova @ Pennsylvania 58–50 regular
2019-01-13 2019 DePaul @ Villanova 66–59 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Marquette @ Villanova 91–55 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Villanova @ Providence 61–67 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Villanova @ Creighton 54–52 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Xavier @ Villanova 71–75 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Butler @ Villanova 63–55 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Georgia @ Villanova 56–62 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Temple @ Villanova 68–76 regular
2018-12-07 2019 Villanova @ George Washington 60–45 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Villanova @ Saint Joseph's 47–35 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Princeton @ Villanova 46–67 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Villanova @ UCF 56–71 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Virginia Tech @ Villanova N 61–59 regular
2018-11-21 2019 La Salle @ Villanova 68–81 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Villanova @ Lehigh 70–48 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Hartford @ Villanova 41–59 regular