cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.21 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.78 to 1.40 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242213 0.629

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-04-03 2024 Illinois @ Villanova N 71–57 other_postseason
2024-04-01 2024 Penn State @ Villanova N 53–58 other_postseason
2024-03-28 2024 Saint Joseph's @ Villanova 59–67 other_postseason
2024-03-24 2024 Virginia @ Villanova 55–73 other_postseason
2024-03-21 2024 VCU @ Villanova 60–75 other_postseason
2024-03-09 2024 Marquette @ Villanova N 50–48 conf_tournament
2024-03-03 2024 DePaul @ Villanova 66–68 regular
2024-02-29 2024 Villanova @ UConn 46–67 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Villanova @ Creighton 69–79 regular
2024-02-22 2024 Providence @ Villanova 58–68 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Butler @ Villanova 55–52 regular
2024-02-13 2024 Villanova @ Georgetown 62–47 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Villanova @ Marquette 55–52 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Seton Hall @ Villanova 41–69 regular
2024-01-31 2024 UConn @ Villanova 81–60 regular
2024-01-28 2024 Villanova @ DePaul 95–64 regular
2024-01-25 2024 Villanova @ Providence 76–82 regular
2024-01-21 2024 Creighton @ Villanova 63–49 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Marquette @ Villanova 63–66 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Villanova @ Butler 65–54 regular
2024-01-10 2024 Georgetown @ Villanova 51–53 regular
2024-01-04 2024 Villanova @ Seton Hall 50–45 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Xavier @ Villanova 45–86 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Villanova @ La Salle 74–60 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Villanova @ St. John's 46–51 regular
2023-12-12 2024 Princeton @ Villanova 61–58 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Villanova @ Saint Joseph's 67–73 regular
2023-12-06 2024 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 62–68 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Villanova @ Columbia 75–77 regular
2023-12-01 2024 Richmond @ Villanova 57–67 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Villanova @ Wake Forest 74–65 regular
2023-11-22 2024 Holy Cross @ Villanova 53–63 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Temple @ Villanova 62–90 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Villanova @ Oregon State 56–63 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Villanova @ Portland 64–42 regular