cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.17
PACE 64.93 possessions per game 5.00

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 51.66 to 79.75 over 47 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-23 2014 George Washington @ Villanova 76–66 other_postseason
2014-03-19 2014 Quinnipiac @ Villanova 66–74 other_postseason
2014-03-10 2014 Marquette @ Villanova N 56–53 conf_tournament
2014-03-05 2014 Marquette @ Villanova 64–81 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Villanova @ Xavier 57–55 regular
2014-02-26 2014 DePaul @ Villanova 71–56 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Georgetown @ Villanova 52–65 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Villanova @ St. John's 56–69 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Butler @ Villanova 46–61 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Villanova @ Seton Hall 62–57 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Villanova @ Providence 72–66 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Creighton @ Villanova 54–68 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Villanova @ Georgetown 59–49 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Xavier @ Villanova 32–61 regular
2014-01-23 2014 St. John's @ Villanova 59–52 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Villanova @ DePaul 65–91 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 54–55 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Seton Hall @ Villanova 64–56 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Villanova @ Butler 70–48 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Providence @ Villanova 59–68 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Villanova @ Marquette 63–61 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Villanova @ Creighton 58–65 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Villanova @ Temple 59–58 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Villanova @ La Salle 83–47 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Saint Joseph's @ Villanova 63–60 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Villanova @ Florida International 68–61 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Montana State @ Villanova N 55–79 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Lafayette @ Villanova 33–60 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Villanova @ Sacred Heart 62–59 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Villanova @ Lehigh 79–73 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Drexel @ Villanova N 52–63 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Mississippi Valley State @ Villanova N 53–87 regular