cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.17 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 55.10 to 153.61 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-21 2022 Villanova @ Michigan 49–64 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-19 2022 Villanova @ BYU N 61–57 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-08 2022 Villanova @ UConn N 40–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Seton Hall @ Villanova N 55–64 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 St. John's @ Villanova N 52–76 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Villanova @ Xavier 58–49 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Villanova @ Butler 72–36 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Villanova @ Georgetown 73–61 regular
2022-02-20 2022 DePaul @ Villanova 64–73 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Villanova @ Seton Hall 60–72 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Marquette @ Villanova 63–74 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Villanova @ UConn 72–69 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Georgetown @ Villanova 57–76 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Villanova @ St. John's 82–58 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Xavier @ Villanova 57–82 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Butler @ Villanova 44–59 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Creighton @ Villanova 64–74 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Providence @ Villanova 56–71 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Villanova @ Marquette 58–55 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Villanova @ DePaul 63–75 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Villanova @ Georgetown postponed regular
2022-01-08 2022 UConn @ Villanova postponed regular
2022-01-02 2022 St. John's @ Villanova 68–70 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Seton Hall @ Villanova 73–76 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Villanova @ La Salle 66–56 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Oregon State @ Villanova 52–56 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Villanova @ James Madison 76–67 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Villanova @ Creighton 58–72 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Villanova @ Providence 47–66 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Lehigh @ Villanova 60–65 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Temple @ Villanova 68–62 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Villanova @ Pennsylvania 66–63 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Villanova @ Saint Joseph's 55–39 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Villanova @ Maryland 67–88 regular
2021-11-11 2022 Princeton @ Villanova 59–42 regular