Missouri State Lady Bears
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2018
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.08 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.15 | possessions per game | 4.87 |
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 22:00),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018.
Axis spans 0.68 to 1.23 over
123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2018
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | 12 | 0.636 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-17 | 2018 | Missouri State @ TCU | 51–86 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-15 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech | 63–59 | other_postseason |
| 2018-03-10 | 2018 | Northern Iowa @ Missouri State N | 70–58 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-10 | 2018 | Bradley @ Missouri State N | 68–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2018-03-03 | 2018 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 56–69 | regular |
| 2018-03-02 | 2018 | Evansville @ Missouri State | 51–97 | regular |
| 2018-02-24 | 2018 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State | 61–79 | regular |
| 2018-02-18 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 66–60 | regular |
| 2018-02-17 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Loyola Chicago | 69–58 | regular |
| 2018-02-11 | 2018 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 58–75 | regular |
| 2018-02-10 | 2018 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 54–74 | regular |
| 2018-02-04 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Drake | 65–84 | regular |
| 2018-02-03 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 57–52 | regular |
| 2018-01-27 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 69–71 | regular |
| 2018-01-21 | 2018 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | 36–75 | regular |
| 2018-01-20 | 2018 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State | 60–83 | regular |
| 2018-01-14 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Bradley | 71–65 | regular |
| 2018-01-13 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 56–50 | regular |
| 2018-01-07 | 2018 | Northern Iowa @ Missouri State | 52–62 | regular |
| 2018-01-06 | 2018 | Drake @ Missouri State | 80–68 | regular |
| 2017-12-31 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 95–65 | regular |
| 2017-12-30 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Indiana State | 77–63 | regular |
| 2017-12-19 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Alabama | 61–65 | regular |
| 2017-12-16 | 2018 | Northwestern @ Missouri State | 59–90 | regular |
| 2017-12-10 | 2018 | Oral Roberts @ Missouri State | 66–76 | regular |
| 2017-12-08 | 2018 | Wichita State @ Missouri State | 71–94 | regular |
| 2017-12-05 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Little Rock | 51–63 | regular |
| 2017-11-30 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Wichita State | 58–72 | regular |
| 2017-11-25 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Pennsylvania N | 60–65 | regular |
| 2017-11-23 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Baylor N | 58–100 | regular |
| 2017-11-19 | 2018 | Missouri @ Missouri State | 69–59 | regular |
| 2017-11-16 | 2018 | Central Missouri @ Missouri State | 36–62 | non_d1 |
| 2017-11-14 | 2018 | Missouri State @ Ball State | 58–70 | regular |