Missouri State Lady Bears
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Final Four (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.78 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.30 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.78 | possessions per game | 5.24 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 57.08 to 150.15 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | 3 | 0.885 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-28 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Stanford N | 62–89 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-24 | 2021 | Wright State @ Missouri State N | 39–64 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | UC Davis @ Missouri State N | 51–70 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State N | 59–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 85–44 | regular |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 87–54 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | 45–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | 50–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 67–55 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 62–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 56–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 73–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 69–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 74–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 61–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State | 44–61 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | 63–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | 72–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 64–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 70–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | postponed | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | South Dakota State @ Missouri State | 60–52 | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Missouri | 72–58 | regular |
| 2020-12-08 | 2021 | Lincoln (MO) @ Missouri State | 38–100 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Tulsa @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Wake Forest @ Missouri State N | 68–59 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Maryland N | 81–72 | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Florida Gulf Coast | 74–49 | regular |