cbb·system

VCU Rams

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.28 possessions per game 5.06

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

VCU AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.10 to 1.61 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192410 0.706

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 VCU @ Virginia Tech 72–82 other_postseason
2019-03-21 2019 Charlotte @ VCU 52–65 other_postseason
2019-03-10 2019 Fordham @ VCU N 62–47 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Dayton @ VCU N 52–61 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Saint Joseph's @ VCU N 47–58 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Davidson @ VCU 54–61 regular
2019-02-28 2019 VCU @ Saint Louis 60–76 regular
2019-02-23 2019 VCU @ Duquesne 68–71 regular
2019-02-17 2019 VCU @ George Mason 62–38 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Dayton @ VCU 62–64 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Richmond @ VCU 37–58 regular
2019-02-07 2019 VCU @ St. Bonaventure 59–50 regular
2019-02-03 2019 VCU @ Saint Joseph's 65–47 regular
2019-01-30 2019 Massachusetts @ VCU 48–52 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Saint Louis @ VCU 47–57 regular
2019-01-24 2019 VCU @ George Washington 48–57 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Rhode Island @ VCU 39–74 regular
2019-01-17 2019 VCU @ Fordham 47–44 regular
2019-01-12 2019 VCU @ Richmond 68–43 regular
2019-01-08 2019 La Salle @ VCU 38–68 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Saint Joseph's @ VCU 40–59 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Delaware State @ VCU 55–97 regular
2018-12-21 2019 VCU @ North Carolina A&T 54–48 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Radford @ VCU 54–49 regular
2018-12-16 2019 VCU @ Old Dominion 57–60 regular
2018-12-08 2019 VCU @ Cincinnati 54–66 regular
2018-12-02 2019 VCU @ Georgetown 47–45 regular
2018-11-28 2019 UNC Wilmington @ VCU 47–58 regular
2018-11-25 2019 VCU @ IU Indianapolis N 61–63 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Weber State @ VCU N 36–64 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Wake Forest @ VCU 40–53 regular
2018-11-14 2019 VCU @ North Carolina 47–59 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Longwood @ VCU 55–84 regular
2018-11-07 2019 VCU @ William & Mary 72–55 regular