cbb·system

VCU Rams

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.89 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

VCU AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.17 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202012 0.625

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbVCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 VCU @ Dayton 48–52 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Fordham @ VCU N 55–60 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Davidson @ VCU N 52–58 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 VCU @ Davidson 55–51 regular
2020-02-26 2020 George Mason @ VCU 36–48 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Saint Louis @ VCU 60–67 regular
2020-02-19 2020 VCU @ La Salle 67–61 regular
2020-02-16 2020 VCU @ Dayton 67–72 regular
2020-02-13 2020 St. Bonaventure @ VCU 47–56 regular
2020-02-09 2020 George Washington @ VCU 56–55 regular
2020-02-05 2020 VCU @ Richmond 57–42 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Duquesne @ VCU 79–76 regular
2020-01-29 2020 Fordham @ VCU 52–62 regular
2020-01-25 2020 VCU @ George Mason 82–63 regular
2020-01-22 2020 VCU @ Massachusetts 61–46 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Richmond @ VCU 50–53 regular
2020-01-12 2020 VCU @ Saint Louis 65–52 regular
2020-01-08 2020 Saint Joseph's @ VCU 40–47 regular
2020-01-04 2020 VCU @ Rhode Island 75–54 regular
2019-12-30 2020 North Carolina A&T @ VCU 69–58 regular
2019-12-22 2020 UC Riverside @ VCU 51–67 regular
2019-12-19 2020 VCU @ Middle Tennessee 63–86 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Old Dominion @ VCU 49–62 regular
2019-12-08 2020 William & Mary @ VCU 69–55 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Cincinnati @ VCU 58–56 regular
2019-11-30 2020 VCU @ Southern Miss 39–51 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Omaha @ VCU N 66–74 regular
2019-11-24 2020 VCU @ Boston College 52–87 regular
2019-11-20 2020 East Carolina @ VCU 40–53 regular
2019-11-15 2020 VCU @ South Florida 55–77 regular
2019-11-13 2020 VCU @ Seton Hall 33–53 regular
2019-11-05 2020 App State @ VCU 38–66 regular