Fresno State Bulldogs
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.67 | points per possession | 0.53 |
| DE | 0.62 | points per possession | 0.52 |
| ME | 0.05 | points per possession | 0.74 |
| PACE | 65.65 | possessions per game | 4.87 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -1.69 to 1.72 over
92 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 12 | 12 | 0.500 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Fresno State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Colorado State N | 62–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Fresno State N | 77–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Utah State @ Fresno State | 57–51 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Boise State | 67–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Fresno State @ UNLV | 67–68 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Fresno State @ UNLV | 67–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | San Diego State @ Fresno State | 75–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | San Diego State @ Fresno State | 67–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 67–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 69–63 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Utah State @ Fresno State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Utah State @ Fresno State | 69–53 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Fresno State | 55–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Fresno State | 62–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Boise State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Boise State | 51–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Nevada | 65–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Nevada | 57–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-11 | 2021 | San José State @ Fresno State | 65–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | San José State @ Fresno State | 64–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-05 | 2021 | Wyoming @ Fresno State | 61–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Wyoming @ Fresno State | 78–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-30 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Colorado State | 59–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Colorado State | 53–75 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Fresno Pacific @ Fresno State | 65–78 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Cal Poly @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-08 | 2021 | Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Pepperdine | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | UC Riverside @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Pacific | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Jessup University @ Fresno State | 47–87 | non_d1 |