cbb·system

Montana State Bobcats

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.65 possessions per game 4.41

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.36 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMontana State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-12 2025 Montana State @ Northern Colorado N 45–72 conf_tournament
2025-03-10 2025 Montana State @ Idaho State N 80–60 conf_tournament
2025-03-04 2025 Idaho @ Montana State 60–75 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Montana State @ Sacramento State 87–60 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Montana State @ Portland State 52–69 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Montana @ Montana State 89–85 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Idaho State @ Montana State 69–74 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Weber State @ Montana State 66–74 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Montana State @ Northern Colorado 66–73 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Montana State @ Northern Arizona 64–69 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Portland State @ Montana State 73–74 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Sacramento State @ Montana State 58–70 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Montana State @ Montana 70–77 regular
2025-01-21 2025 Eastern Washington @ Montana State 64–74 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Montana State @ Weber State 80–71 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Montana State @ Idaho State 67–70 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Northern Arizona @ Montana State 53–58 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Northern Colorado @ Montana State 83–82 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Montana State @ Eastern Washington 63–68 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Montana State @ Idaho 64–69 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Montana State @ TCU 48–82 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Montana State @ UC Riverside 80–83 regular
2024-12-16 2025 Montana State @ USC 63–89 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Kansas City @ Montana State 62–74 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Montana State @ Omaha 76–65 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Cal State Northridge @ Montana State 72–69 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Abilene Christian @ Montana State 59–85 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Southern Miss @ Montana State 59–79 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Montana State @ Northwestern 69–72 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Montana State @ Denver 78–79 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Northwest Indian @ Montana State 35–93 non_d1
2024-11-10 2025 Montana State @ Wichita State 69–89 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Montana State @ Wisconsin 67–79 regular